My Account Log Out

reorder

Sam Ehlinger

Sam Ehlinger TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders

Sam Ehlinger TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+183/-245).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indianapolis Colts will be rolling with backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Colts rank as the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 66.5% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 64.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 6th-least in football.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-lowest level in the league vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year (67.2%).

The Washington Commanders safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

More Sam Ehlinger Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™