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Sam Ehlinger

Sam Ehlinger Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders

Sam Ehlinger Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-129/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 64.7 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Sam Ehlinger to garner 6.7 carries in this week's game, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.

THE BLITZ projects Sam Ehlinger to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (23.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (1.4% in games he has played).

The Indianapolis Colts have risked going for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Indianapolis Colts will be rolling with backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Colts have been the 10th-least run-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 35.8% run rate.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.

The Washington Commanders linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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