Sam Ehlinger Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Sam Ehlinger

NFL · Player Props

Sam Ehlinger

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Sam Ehlinger Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-129/-111).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 64.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Sam Ehlinger to garner 6.7 carries in this week's game, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Sam Ehlinger to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (23.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (1.4% in games he has played).
The Indianapolis Colts have risked going for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Indianapolis Colts will be rolling with backup quarterback Sam Ehlinger in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Colts have been the 10th-least run-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 35.8% run rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.
The Washington Commanders linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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