Sam Ehlinger Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Sam Ehlinger

NFL · Player Props

Sam Ehlinger

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Sam Ehlinger Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the 32nd-worst unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Colts are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most sluggish paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.70 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Sam Ehlinger to total 0.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.

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