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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+170/-235).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Vikings to be the 4th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.8% red zone pass rate.

The Lions defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.1 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

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