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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 132.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

After taking on 2.8% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Sam Darnold has had a larger role in the running game this season, now comprising 10.9%.

Sam Darnold has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (14.0) this season than he did last season (3.0).

This year, the formidable Los Angeles Rams run defense has allowed a feeble 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 24th-best rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to run on 40.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast Sam Darnold to accrue 3.3 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-fewest among all QBs.

The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends rank as the best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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