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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Seattle Seahawks

Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 192.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 193.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 192.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.

Sam Darnold grades out as one of the leading quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 249.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

Sam Darnold ranks as one of the most effective passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 7.90 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Since the start of last season, the anemic Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been gouged for the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to the opposing side: a monstrous 8.14 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Seahawks offensive approach to lean 7.5% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 56.3% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seahawks are projected by the projections to call only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.7 plays per game.

In this week's contest, Sam Darnold is anticipated by the predictive model to have the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.3.

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