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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 206.5 (-103/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 205.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 206.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Sam Darnold rates as one of the top QBs in the league last year, averaging an impressive 256.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

With a terrific 7.98 adjusted yards-per-target (85th percentile) last year, Sam Darnold places among the most effective passers in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.3% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.2 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.

The Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 56.3 plays per game.

In this week's contest, Sam Darnold is forecasted by the model to wind up with the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.5.

More Sam Darnold Player Props

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