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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 275.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 268.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 275.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 132.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Sam Darnold's 256.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season reflects a noteworthy improvement in his throwing proficiency over last season's 33.0 mark.

With an excellent 7.97 adjusted yards-per-target (85th percentile) this year, Sam Darnold ranks as one of the most effective QBs in football.

The Rams defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects Sam Darnold to throw 36.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.

This year, the strong Rams defense has yielded a mere 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-best rate in the league.

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