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Sam Darnold
NFL · Player Props
Sam Darnold
QB · Carolina Panthers
Passing Yards
Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2022 Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC
NFL Props Sam Darnold Passing Yards

Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 177.5 (-140/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 176.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 177.5 @ -140.

Favors Over
  • The Carolina Panthers will be forced to start backup QB Sam Darnold in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Sam Darnold's throwing precision has been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 59.9% to 63.4%.
  • Sam Darnold's pass-game efficiency has improved this season, accumulating 7.46 yards-per-target vs a mere 6.16 rate last season.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks rank as the 6th-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
Favors Under
  • The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 6.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.74 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.9 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Sam Darnold to attempt 28.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
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