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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have 138.9 offensive plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seattle Seahawks boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The Seahawks have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
  • The projections expect Sam Darnold to throw 33.0 passes this week, on average: the 11th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

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