My Account Log Out
 
 
Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Sam Darnold Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers will be forced to start backup quarterback Sam Darnold this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • The Carolina Panthers have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.
  • The Carolina Panthers have gone for it on 4th down 23.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 6.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.9 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Sam Darnold to attempt 28.6 passes in this game, on average: the 9th-least of all QBs.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™