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Sam Darnold Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+110/-140).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Carolina Panthers will be forced to start backup quarterback Sam Darnold this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in football.The Carolina Panthers have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.The Carolina Panthers have gone for it on 4th down 23.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 6.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 5th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.9 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects Sam Darnold to attempt 28.6 passes in this game, on average: the 9th-least of all QBs.
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