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Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs New Orleans Saints

Sam Darnold Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seattle Seahawks boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run on 49.0% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have 138.9 offensive plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.

The Saints defensive tackles profile as the worst unit in football since the start of last season with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

After accounting for 10.9% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Sam Darnold has been less involved in the rushing attack this season, now sitting at only 3.8%.

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