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Salvon Ahmed

Salvon Ahmed Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Salvon Ahmed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Salvon Ahmed's 18.8% Route% this year represents a a remarkable growth in his pass game utilization over last year's 6.1% rate.
  • The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles project as the worst unit in football this year with their pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a giant 14-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.19 seconds per play.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.
  • With a mere 0.5 adjusted catches per game (11th percentile) since the start of last season, Salvon Ahmed stands as one of the worst running backs in the pass game in the NFL.

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