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Ryan Tannehill

Ryan Tannehill TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Ryan Tannehill TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+164/-215).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -220 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -215.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year (73.5%).

The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have utilized play action on 30.3% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 54.0% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 30.8 passes in this contest, on average: the least of all QBs.

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