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Ryan Tannehill

Ryan Tannehill TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

Ryan Tannehill TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+175/-240).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders defense has yielded the most passing TDs in football: 2.50 per game this year.

The Washington Commanders cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have used play action on 30.3% of their passing plays since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 54.5% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 50.5 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 31.2 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.

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