Ryan Tannehill TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

TD Passes

Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+162/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -215 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -210.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans have called the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-highest level in the league against the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season (72.7%).
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed the 8th-most passing touchdowns in football: 1.74 per game since the start of last season.
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 54.9% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace among all games this week, averaging 27.47 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 30.1 passes this week, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.