Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Ryan Tannehill

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Titans as the 4th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.5% run rate.
Ryan Tannehill has been among the best QBs in football at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a stellar 3.08 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Favors Under

The Tennessee Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 4.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -5-point underdog in this week's contest.
The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.6 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Ryan Tannehill to notch 2.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.

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