Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:31 PM EST

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (11.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.0% in games he has played).
The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.
The Tennessee Titans have incorporated some form of misdirection on 50.7% of their plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which can confuse the defense and bolster offensive production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.
Ryan Tannehill has run for substantially fewer yards per game (5.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).
Ryan Tannehill's running efficiency has worsened this year, accumulating just 2.49 yards-per-carry compared to a 6.36 rate last year.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.