Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 20, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 2nd-most run-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 43.1% run rate.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.3 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Ryan Tannehill's rushing effectiveness (6.22 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (76th percentile among QBs).
The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 31st-worst safety corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Titans are a heavy 10-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 6th-least yards in football (just 103 per game) vs. the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box against opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.