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Ryan Tannehill

Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 6th-most run-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 42.9% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game this week (8.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.5% in games he has played).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding 5.61 yards-per-carry.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends rank as the worst DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.8 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to accumulate 2.4 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.

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