Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Ryan Tannehill

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 6th-most run-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 42.9% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to be a much bigger part of his offense's run game this week (8.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.5% in games he has played).
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding 5.61 yards-per-carry.
The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends rank as the worst DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to accumulate 2.4 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.

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