Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Ryan Tannehill

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (10.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.4% in games he has played).
The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year at opening holes for rushers.
The Cincinnati Bengals defensive tackles project as the 9th-worst group of DTs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.7 plays per game.
Ryan Tannehill has rushed for a lot fewer yards per game (6.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).
Ryan Tannehill's rushing effectiveness has declined this season, averaging a mere 3.24 yards-per-carry compared to a 6.36 figure last season.
Ryan Tannehill has been among the worst QBs in football at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 0.96 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 24th percentile.

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