Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Ryan Tannehill

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 4th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to be a more important option in his offense's run game this week (10.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (5.4% in games he has played).
Ryan Tannehill's rushing effectiveness (6.36 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL since the start of last season (85th percentile among quarterbacks).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-worst pace among all games this week, averaging 27.34 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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