Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Ryan Tannehill

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Passing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 217.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 224.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
Ryan Tannehill has been among the best per-play passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 7.56 yards-per-target while checking in at the 87th percentile.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans offense as the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 9th-least yards in the league (just 208.0 per game) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season.

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