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Ryan Tannehill

Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans

Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 225.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 224.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Ryan Tannehill has been among the best per-play QBs in football since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 7.75 yards-per-target while checking in at the 90th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.

Ryan Tannehill has attempted a measly 27.7 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile among QBs.

The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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