Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Ryan Tannehill

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Passing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 215.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 217.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 215.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ryan Tannehill has been among the best per-play passers in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 7.89 yards-per-target while checking in at the 85th percentile.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year (73.5%).
The Indianapolis Colts defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 7.31 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in the NFL.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 30.8 passes in this contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.

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