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Ryan Tannehill

Ryan Tannehill Completions
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Ryan Tannehill Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
  • Ryan Tannehill has attempted a measly 27.7 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile among QBs.
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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