Ryan Tannehill Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Completions

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest rate in the NFL versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year (73.5%).
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have utilized play action on 30.3% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 30.8 passes in this contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.