Ryan Tannehill Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Ryan Tannehill

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Carries

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Tennessee Titans as the 6th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.0% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Favors Under

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The predictive model expects the Titans offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.90 seconds per snap.
The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
Colts defensive ends project as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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