Ryan Tannehill Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Ryan Tannehill

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Tannehill

QB · Tennessee Titans

Carries

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM EST

Analysis

Ryan Tannehill Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+123/-169).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -169.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Tennessee Titans as the 10th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 44.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Bengals linebackers project as the 8th-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 3.0% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The projections expect the Titans to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 59.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Titans have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 54.0 plays per game.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced run volume.
The projections expect Ryan Tannehill to earn 2.5 carries in this week's game, on average: the 6th-fewest of all QBs.

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