Ryan Griffin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Ryan Griffin

TE · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 12:15 AM UTC

Analysis

Ryan Griffin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-112/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a big 10-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
Ryan Griffin has accounted for a monstrous 7.1% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 76th percentile among TEs.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the league (75.1%) versus TEs since the start of last season (75.1%).
The Chicago Bears offensive line has given their quarterback 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Green Bay Packers defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
Ryan Griffin has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league among TEs, catching just 63.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 18th percentile.
Ryan Griffin has been among the least effective pass-catchers in football among TEs, averaging just 6.10 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 13th percentile.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers project as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Chicago Bears have faced a stacked the box on just 14.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.