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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Russell Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 134.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a massive 59.1 per game on average).

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

With a stellar rate of 1.62 per game (76th percentile), Russell Wilson ranks as one of the top TD throwers in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 52.6% red zone pass rate.

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 4th-best group of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

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