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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Russell Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a a giant -10.5-point underdog this week.

The Broncos rank as the 5th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 62.5% red zone pass rate.

Russell Wilson's 66.1% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a a significant boost in his passing accuracy over last year's 59.3% rate.

With an outstanding rate of 2.20 per game (97th percentile), Russell Wilson ranks among the top TD passers in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Broncos have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in football versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year (66.4% Adjusted Completion%).

The Chiefs cornerbacks project as the 7th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More Russell Wilson Player Props

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