Russell Wilson TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

TD Passes

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos rank as the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 65.9% red zone pass rate.
Russell Wilson's 66.4% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a a material growth in his throwing accuracy over last season's 59.3% figure.
With an outstanding rate of 2.25 per game (97th percentile), Russell Wilson ranks among the leading TD passers in football this year.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Broncos to pass on 55.8% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 60.1 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The Denver Broncos have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.2 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect Russell Wilson to attempt 31.0 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's group of LBs has been great this year, profiling as the best in the league.

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