Russell Wilson TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

TD Passes

Denver Broncos vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+118/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Broncos are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Russell Wilson to attempt 31.5 passes this week, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.

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