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Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-150/+115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 51.0% of their chances: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.The Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.7 plays per game.Russell Wilson has averaged 21.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the league when it comes to QBs (78th percentile).The Giants defense owns the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 5.78 adjusted yards-per-carry.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to garner 4.2 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 9th-most among all QBs.Russell Wilson has been a much smaller part of his team's ground game this year (8.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (17.3%).The New York defensive tackles project as the best collection of DTs in the league this year with their run defense.
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