Russell Wilson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Russell Wilson isn't afraid to run the ball, comprising 14.3% of his team's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 78th percentile among quarterbacks.
Russell Wilson's 22.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies a noteable growth in his running skills over last season's 17.0 mark.
Russell Wilson's ground effectiveness has gotten better this year, accumulating 6.97 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 5.35 mark last year.
This year, the daunting Chiefs run defense has allowed a paltry 4.55 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 23rd-smallest rate in the NFL.
The Chiefs safeties grade out as the 28th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).

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