Russell Wilson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Broncos as the 8th-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Russell Wilson's rushing efficiency has been refined this season, notching 6.51 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 5.35 mark last season.
This year, the anemic Jets run defense has been gouged for a staggering 143.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 6th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Broncos are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 60.1 total plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The Denver Broncos have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.2 plays per game.
Russell Wilson has been among the weakest quarterbacks in the league at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 0.73 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 25th percentile.
The New York Jets defensive ends rank as the 9th-best DE corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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