Russell Wilson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The model projects the Broncos to be the 7th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 44.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Russell Wilson's ground effectiveness has gotten better this year, accumulating 7.60 yards-per-carry compared to a mere 5.35 rate last year.
Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (155 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Broncos to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 59.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Chicago's LB corps has been great since the start of last season, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

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