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Russell Wilson
NFL · Player Props
Russell Wilson
QB · Denver Broncos
Rushing Yards
Denver Broncos vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2023 Updated Sep 17, 2023 8:17 PM UTC
NFL Props Russell Wilson Rushing Yards

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -165.

Favors Over
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Broncos are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.
  • Russell Wilson has been a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (4.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (12.9%).
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-least yards in the league (just 110 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season.
  • The Washington Commanders defensive ends grade out as the best unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
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