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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to run on 49.6% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

In this week's game, Russell Wilson is expected by our trusted projection set to total the 5th-most carries among all QBs with 5.9.

Russell Wilson isn't afraid to run the ball himself, comprising 17.3% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to QBs.

Russell Wilson's 22.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents a remarkable progression in his rushing skills over last season's 17.0 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by our trusted projection set to see just 124.4 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.

The 3rd-fewest plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.9 per game on average).

This year, the weak Patriots run defense has been torched for a massive 3.49 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing run game: the 31st-highest rate in the league.

The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

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