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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.

At the moment, the 7th-most run-focused offense in the league (41.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Denver Broncos.

In this contest, Russell Wilson is anticipated by the projections to notch the 5th-most rush attempts among all QBs with 4.2.

Accounting for 16.0% of his offense's run game usage this year (84th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Russell Wilson's mobility marks him as a dangerous weapon in Denver's rushing attack.

Russell Wilson's 23.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season marks a remarkable boost in his rushing talent over last season's 17.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

The model projects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

This year, the porous Texans run defense has conceded a massive 3.61 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing ground game: the 32nd-largest rate in football.

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