Russell Wilson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
At the moment, the 7th-most run-focused offense in the league (41.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Denver Broncos.
In this contest, Russell Wilson is anticipated by the projections to notch the 5th-most rush attempts among all QBs with 4.2.
Accounting for 16.0% of his offense's run game usage this year (84th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Russell Wilson's mobility marks him as a dangerous weapon in Denver's rushing attack.
Russell Wilson's 23.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season marks a remarkable boost in his rushing talent over last season's 17.0 figure.

Favors Under

The Broncos are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The model projects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
This year, the porous Texans run defense has conceded a massive 3.61 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposing ground game: the 32nd-largest rate in football.

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