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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive strategy to skew 2.0% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.

The model projects the Broncos to be the 4th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 47.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to accrue 5.4 carries in this contest, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.

Russell Wilson isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, making up 15.8% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among quarterbacks.

Russell Wilson has run for a lot more yards per game (24.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).

The Vikings defense has produced the 7th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 3.83 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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