Russell Wilson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

My Account Log Out

reorder

Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive strategy to skew 2.0% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
The model projects the Broncos to be the 4th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 47.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to accrue 5.4 carries in this contest, on balance: the 8th-most among all QBs.
Russell Wilson isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, making up 15.8% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among quarterbacks.
Russell Wilson has run for a lot more yards per game (24.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).
The Vikings defense has produced the 7th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 3.83 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

More Russell Wilson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow