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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Russell Wilson to be much more involved in his offense's run game this week (11.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 10th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 58.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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