My Account Log Out

reorder

Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Russell Wilson to be a more important option in his team's running game this week (12.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.9% in games he has played).

The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The Broncos are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 8th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Russell Wilson has been among the weakest QBs in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging just 1.11 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 23rd percentile.

Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-least yards in the league (just 107 per game) versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.

More Russell Wilson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™