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Russell Wilson
NFL · Player Props
Russell Wilson
QB · Denver Broncos
Rushing Yards
Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos · Week 12, 2022 Updated Nov 27, 2022 6:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Russell Wilson Rushing Yards

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +110.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.04 seconds per snap.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Russell Wilson to be much more involved in his offense's running game this week (13.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.7% in games he has played).
  • Opposing teams have run for the 7th-most yards in the NFL (139 per game) against the Carolina Panthers defense this year.
Favors Under
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Carolina Panthers linebackers profile as the 3rd-best group of LBs in football this year in regard to defending the run.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.
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