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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.08 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Russell Wilson to accumulate 4.4 carries in this game, on average: the 7th-most of all QBs.

THE BLITZ projects Russell Wilson to be a more integral piece of his offense's running game this week (16.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.4% in games he has played).

The Las Vegas Raiders safeties grade out as the 32nd-worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Denver Broncos have been faced with a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box vs. opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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