Russell Wilson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 11:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Russell Wilson to be a more important option in his offense's run game this week (13.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.9% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.5% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 5th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 44.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.5 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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