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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Russell Wilson to be a more important option in his offense's run game this week (13.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.9% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.5% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 5th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 44.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.5 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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