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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 199.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 224.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 199.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.6 plays per game.
  • Russell Wilson's 9.10 adjusted yards-per-target this season signifies a noteworthy improvement in his passing effectiveness over last season's 7.0% figure.
  • The Washington cornerbacks profile as the worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects Russell Wilson to throw 29.4 passes in this contest, on balance: the 4th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the formidable Commanders defense has allowed a feeble 200.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 5th-best in the league.

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