Russell Wilson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Russell Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Russell Wilson

QB · Denver Broncos

Passing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Russell Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 217.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 224.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Denver Broncos ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
Russell Wilson's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 59.3% to 67.1%.
This year, the feeble Lions defense has surrendered the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a monstrous 8.02 yards.

Favors Under

With a 58.6% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league has been the Denver Broncos.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
The Lions defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.33 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in football.

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