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Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Russell Wilson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 205.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 204.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 205.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Russell Wilson's 67.8% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteworthy growth in his throwing precision over last season's 59.3% rate.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in football versus the Vikings defense this year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Denver Broncos offensive strategy to skew 2.0% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.
  • The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Broncos to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Broncos this year (a lowly 53.7 per game on average).
  • In this contest, Russell Wilson is expected by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.0.

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